Finance

The 30-Year Treasury Yield Is Probably Stuck Above 5.20% Through Year-End

Source: Polymarket market “How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?”

probably not (40%)
Leading outcome Below 5.20% 40% Probably not · C
24h move ▲ 4.5 pts Below 5.20%
Traded 24h $20K $89K all time
Resolves by 2026-12-31
Source markets 3 3 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Below 5.20% 40% ▲ 4.5
Below 5.15% 26% 0.0
Below 5.10% 24% ▼ 0.5
Below 5.05% 18% ▲ 10.5
Below 5.00% 7% ▲ 2.0
Below 4.90% 5% 0.0

Source markets for this story

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027? Polymarket · 5.4% 36% · -24.5 24h
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027? Polymarket · Below 5.20% 40% · +4.5 24h
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027? Polymarket · 5.70% 55% · -11.0 24h
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