The 30-Year Treasury Yield Is Probably Stuck Above 5.20% Through Year-End
Source: Polymarket market “How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?”
probably not (40%)
Leading outcome
Below 5.20% 40%
Probably not · C
24h move
▲
4.5 pts
Below 5.20%
Traded 24h
$20K
$89K all time
Resolves by
2026-12-31
Source markets
3
3 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
Below 5.20%
40%
▲
4.5
Below 5.15%
26%
0.0
Below 5.10%
24%
▼
0.5
Below 5.05%
18%
▲
10.5
Below 5.00%
7%
▲
2.0
Below 4.90%
5%
0.0
Source markets for this story
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
Polymarket · 5.4% 36% · -24.5 24h
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Polymarket · Below 5.20% 40% · +4.5 24h
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
Polymarket · 5.70% 55% · -11.0 24h
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