The 10-Year Treasury Yield Looks Stuck Above 4.76% in September
Source: Polymarket market “How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?”
unlikely (11%)
Leading outcome
Below 4.76% 11%
Unlikely · D
very unlikely → unlikely
24h move
▲
4.5 pts
Below 4.76%
Traded 24h
$14K
$53K all time
Resolves by
2026-09-30
Where the money stands
Below 4.76%
11%
▲
4.5
Below 4.73%
7%
▲
4.1
Below 4.64%
3%
▼
0.5
Below 4.51%
3%
0.1
Below 4.61%
3%
0.2
Below 4.67%
3%
0.1
The Front Page, every morning — what the markets believe about the world.