U.S.Michelle Bolsonaro on track to win

Michelle Bolsonaro Is Very Likely to Top the Federal District Senate Race

Source: Polymarket market “Federal District Senate Election: 1st Place”

Michelle Bolsonaro: very likely (92%)
Leading outcome Michelle Bolsonaro 92% Very likely · D likely → very likely
24h move ▲ 4.5 pts Michelle Bolsonaro
Traded 24h $12K $47K all time
Resolves by 2026-10-05

Where the money stands

Michelle Bolsonaro 92% ▲ 4.5
Bia Kicis 4% ▼ 2.1
Leila do Vôlei 2% ▲ 0.8
Erika Kokay 1% ▼ 3.0
Avenir Rosa 0% 0.0
David Horn 0% 0.0
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