Michelle Bolsonaro Is Very Likely to Top the Federal District Senate Race
Source: Polymarket market “Federal District Senate Election: 1st Place”
Michelle Bolsonaro: very likely (92%)
Leading outcome
Michelle Bolsonaro 92%
Very likely · D
likely → very likely
24h move
▲
4.5 pts
Michelle Bolsonaro
Traded 24h
$12K
$47K all time
Resolves by
2026-10-05
Where the money stands
Michelle Bolsonaro
92%
▲
4.5
Bia Kicis
4%
▼
2.1
Leila do Vôlei
2%
▲
0.8
Erika Kokay
1%
▼
3.0
Avenir Rosa
0%
0.0
David Horn
0%
0.0
The Front Page, every morning — what the markets believe about the world.