Finance

A New Gemini Flash Model Is Virtually Certain Before October — and Likely Sooner

By Priced In News Staff

virtually certain (98%)

Leading outcome October 31 98% Virtually certain · A

24h move ▲ 3.8 pts October 31

Traded 24h $21K $30K all time

Resolves by 2026-10-31

Where the money stands

October 31 98% ▲ 3.8

September 30 95% ▲ 11.4

September 11 84% 0.0

September 9 82% 0.0

September 15 81% ▲ 5.2

September 4 80% 0.0

Next Mythos-Class Model released by…? Polymarket · October 31 96% · +2.2 24h

Best AI at the end of 2026? Kalshi · Claude 70% · +1.6 24h

Which company has the best AI Agent end of September? Polymarket · Anthropic 92% · +13.0 24h

Best Chinese AI Company end of September? Polymarket · Alibaba 74% · +6.0 24h

Which company has the best AI model end of September? Polymarket · Anthropic 94%

Gemini 4.0 released by...? Polymarket · November 30 88% · +0.5 24h

Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by...? Polymarket · October 31 98% · +3.8 24h

OpenAI’s Astra released by…? Polymarket · October 31 92% · -0.5 24h

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...? Polymarket · October 31 69% · +6.5 24h

GPT-6 released by…? Polymarket · December 31, 2026 73% · +2.5 24h

Next Claude Opus released by...? Polymarket · December 31 99%

Which company has best AI model end of 2026? Polymarket · Anthropic 72% · +2.0 24h

Next Gemini Flash Model (3.8+): Text Arena Debut? Polymarket · 1480+ 79%

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September? Polymarket · OpenAI 90% · +8.0 24h