World

Russia Is Likely to Enter Mykolaivka Before Year-End — and Sooner Than Expected

Source: Polymarket market “Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by...?”

leaning yes (66%)
Leading outcome December 31 66% Leaning yes · Rising · B · tracked 36 days peak 94% (32d ago) · low 72% 2 tier changes over tracking period
24h move ▼ 7.5 pts December 31
Traded 24h $20K $271K all time
Resolves by 2027-01-01
Source markets 6 6 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

December 31 66% ▼ 7.5
October 31 38% ▲ 8.0
September 30 10% ▲ 2.0

Source markets for this story

Putin out as President of Russia by...? Polymarket · June 30, 2027 12% · -1.0 24h
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? Polymarket · December 31, 2027 70%
NATO x Russia military clash by...? Polymarket · December 31 30%
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by...? Polymarket · December 31 66% · -7.5 24h
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...? Polymarket · December 31 70% · +1.5 24h
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027? Polymarket · No meeting before 2027 92% · -0.5 24h
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