Curiositiesodds favor 8

Exactly Eight Cyclones Making China Landfall in 2026 Is Now Just a Lean

Source: Polymarket market “How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?”

8: leaning yes (58%)
Resolved The money put Greater than 8 at 78% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome 8 58% Leaning yes · Falling · D · tracked 66 days peak 80% (65d ago) · low 40% (46d ago) likely → leaning yes 6 tier changes over tracking period
24h move ▲ 5.0 pts 8
Traded 24h $13K $220K all time
Resolves by 2027-07-01

Where the money stands

8 58% ▲ 5.0
7 14% ▼ 28.7
Greater than 8 8% ▲ 1.5
Fewer than 5 0% 0.0
5 0% 0.0
6 0% 0.0
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page