China Is Likely to Face More Than 8 Tropical Cyclone Landfalls in 2026
Source: Polymarket market “How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?”
Greater than 8: likely (77%)
Leading outcome
Greater than 8 77%
Likely · D
24h move
▲
8.5 pts
Greater than 8
Traded 24h
$14K
$34K all time
Resolves by
2027-06-30
Where the money stands
Greater than 8
77%
▲
8.5
8
12%
▲
1.0
7
4%
▼
2.9
Fewer than 5
0%
0.4
5
0%
▼
0.5
6
0%
▼
6.9
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