CuriositiesGreater than 8 on track to win

China Is Likely to Face More Than 8 Tropical Cyclone Landfalls in 2026

Source: Polymarket market “How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?”

Greater than 8: likely (77%)
Leading outcome Greater than 8 77% Likely · D
24h move ▲ 8.5 pts Greater than 8
Traded 24h $14K $34K all time
Resolves by 2027-06-30

Where the money stands

Greater than 8 77% ▲ 8.5
8 12% ▲ 1.0
7 4% ▼ 2.9
Fewer than 5 0% 0.4
5 0% ▼ 0.5
6 0% ▼ 6.9
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