World

Modi Remains Firmly in Power Through 2026

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Modi out by December 31, 2026?”

very unlikely (8%)
Leading outcome Yes 8% Very unlikely · D
24h move ▲ 0.7 pts Yes
Traded 24h $13K $244K all time
Resolves by 2026-12-31
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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Moscow Airspace Goes Dark as Diplomatic Hopes Collapse

virtually certain (99%)

A ceasefire is not coming — Witkoff's visit to Ukraine looks increasingly likely while the odds of any Russian-Ukrainian diplomatic meeting have cratered, painting a picture of parallel escalation tracks with no off-ramp in sight.

Updated 8:35 PM ET ▲ up sharply overnight
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World

Iran's Blockade Ends This Year, But Not Soon

likely (78%)

The Hormuz crisis is locked in for months — near-term normalization is virtually off the table, diplomacy has stalled with a nuclear deal at just 18%, and the window for a September resolution has collapsed. The blockade lifts by year-end, but the world should expect a prolonged standoff first.

Updated 4:34 PM ET ▼ down overnight
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traded today $695K markets read 25 venue Polymarket grade A
World wide open

JD Vance Leads a Wide-Open 2028 Presidential Field at Just 21%

JD Vance: unlikely (21%)

A sitting vice president holding a plurality this thin, with the Republican nomination itself only a coin-flip proposition, signals genuine uncertainty about the post-Trump succession — the 2028 race is anyone's to claim on both sides.

Updated 9:08 PM ET – barely changed since yesterday
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traded today $1.5M markets read 6 venue Polymarket grade A