FinanceNVIDIA on track to win

NVIDIA Is Likely to End 2026 as the World's Most Valuable Company

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Largest Company end of December 2026?”

NVIDIA: likely (78%)
Resolved The money put NVIDIA at 70% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome NVIDIA 78% Likely · Rising · C · tracked 55 days peak 80% (25d ago) · low 48% (54d ago) leaning yes → likely 10 tier changes over tracking period
24h move ▲ 7.0 pts NVIDIA
Traded 24h $41K $7.5M all time
Resolves by 2027-01-01
Source markets 2 2 markets · all agree

Where the money stands

NVIDIA 78% ▲ 7.0
Apple 15% ▼ 2.2
Alphabet 6% ▼ 1.0
Microsoft 0% 0.0
SpaceX 0% 0.0
Tesla 0% 0.0

Source markets for this story

Largest Company end of December 2026? Polymarket · NVIDIA 78% · +7.0 24h
Largest Company end of September? Polymarket · NVIDIA 99% · +0.5 24h
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

More from Finance

Finance September 22 on track to win

Anthropic's Next Claude Opus Is Likely Out September 22

September 22: likely (77%)

What had been a long-shot date is now the clear expected landing spot — a release by month's end is virtually certain, and the money has concentrated almost entirely on a single day, suggesting informed confidence about a specific launch timeline rather than a general window.

Updated 4:16 AM ET ▲ up sharply overnight
the numbers
traded today $237K markets read 9 venue Polymarket grade A tracked 4 days range 70% (0d ago) – 34% (1d ago) unlikely → likely
Finance leaning No change

The Fed's October Decision Is a Dead Heat Between a Hold and a Hike

No change: a coin flip (50%)

The path beyond October is clearer than October itself: no cuts are coming this year, and a December hike is the money's base case at 68% — but whether the tightening cycle resumes in October or December is genuinely unresolved, making this the most uncertain single meeting the Fed has faced in the current cycle.

Updated 7:31 AM ET ▲ up overnight
the numbers
traded today $1.1M markets read 6 venue Polymarket grade A tracked 55 days range 72% (25d ago) – 50% (4d ago) 3 tier changes
Finance

Anthropic Is Very Likely to Hit a $1.5 Trillion Valuation by Year-End

very likely (90%)

The real story is the ceiling, not the floor: a $2.5 trillion valuation has shed significant ground, dragging the midrange estimates with it, while an IPO announcement before April is priced above 90% — suggesting the market now sees a high-confidence but more modestly valued debut than it did a month ago.

Updated 12:15 PM ET ▼ down overnight
the numbers
traded today $63K markets read 10 venue Polymarket grade B tracked 55 days range 99% (26d ago) – 82% (47d ago) very likely → likely 6 tier changes venues disagree 14.5pp