Makhachev Is Likely to Defeat Garry, Likely by Submission
Source: Polymarket market “UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)”
virtually certain (100%)
Leading outcome
Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry 100%
Virtually certain · Stable · A · tracked 73 days
peak 98% (67d ago) · low 76% (68d ago)
leaning yes → virtually certain
2 tier changes over tracking period
24h move
▲
24.4 pts
Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry
Traded 24h
$4.5M
$5.5M all time
Resolves by
2026-08-16
Where the money stands
Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry
100%
▲
24.4
Fight to Go the Distance?
100%
▲
45.5
O/U 0.5 Rounds
100%
▲
3.9
O/U 1.5 Rounds
100%
▲
14.4
O/U 2.5 Rounds
100%
▲
27.5
O/U 3.5 Rounds
100%
▲
35.9
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