U.S.odds favor Chuck Gray

Chuck Gray Holds a Narrow Edge in Wyoming's Republican Primary

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “WY-AL Republican Primary Winner”

Chuck Gray: leaning yes (56%)
Leading outcome Chuck Gray 56% Leaning yes · D
24h move ▼ 6.5 pts Chuck Gray
Traded 24h $13K $45K all time
Resolves by 2026-08-18 in 2 days

Where the money stands

Chuck Gray 56% ▼ 6.5
Steve Friess 38% ▲ 4.0
Kevin Christensen 6% ▲ 2.9
Reid Rasner 2% 0.0
Frank Chapman 0% 0.4
Bo Biteman 0% 0.1
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U.S. wide open

Republicans Are Likely to Lose Their Senate Majority in 2026

50: unlikely (17%)

While the House looks headed for Democratic control at 85%, the Senate is a genuine coin flip — the money's portrait of 2026 is a probable split reversal, with unified Democratic control still only a near-even proposition.

Updated 2:55 PM ET – barely changed since yesterday
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U.S. wide open

Ocasio-Cortez Leads a Wide-Open 2028 Democratic Presidential Race

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: unlikely (18%)

A field this fractured — six named candidates, none above 20% — means the Democratic Party has no obvious standard-bearer heading into 2028, leaving the nomination genuinely up for grabs in a way that invites late entrants and prolonged primary warfare.

Updated 5:23 AM ET – barely changed since yesterday
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traded today $1.3M markets read 6 venue Kalshi grade A
U.S. leaning Sherrod Brown (D)

Ohio's Senate Race Is a Dead Heat, With Brown Holding a Razor-Thin Edge

Sherrod Brown (D): a coin flip (53%)

The broader Senate map tightens the picture: Democrats edge ahead in Ohio and Michigan while Republicans lock up Montana — a landscape where control of the chamber may hinge on a handful of races each sitting within the margin of uncertainty.

Updated 11:42 PM ET ▼ down overnight
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traded today $30K markets read 9 venue Polymarket grade A