World

An Israel-Turkey Military Clash Remains a Tail Risk Through 2026

By Priced In News Staff

unlikely (14%)

Leading outcome Yes 14% Unlikely · B

24h move 0.0 pts Yes

Traded 24h $42K $403K all time

Resolves by 2027-01-01

Source markets for this story

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Polymarket · Gadi Eizenkot 46% · -2.8 24h

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Polymarket · Yes 14%

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...? Polymarket · September 30 86% · +3.5 24h

Israel military action against Lebanon on...? Polymarket · September 7 51%

Netanyahu out by...? Polymarket · December 31 48% · +1.0 24h