World

An Israel-Turkey Military Clash This Year Is Virtually Off the Table

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?”

very unlikely (4%)
Resolved The money put Yes at 10% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome Yes 4% Very unlikely · Falling · C · tracked 86 days peak 22% (61d ago) · low 4% 2 tier changes over tracking period venues disagree 23.5pp
24h move ▼ 3.0 pts Yes
Traded 24h $19K $527K all time
Resolves by 2027-01-01
Source markets 7 7 markets · mixed

Source markets for this story

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Polymarket · Gadi Eizenkot 43% · -1.0 24h
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election? Kalshi · No one 49% · +7.0 24h
Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government? Polymarket · Gadi Eizenkot 92% · +9.5 24h
Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats? Polymarket · 8+ 97% · +1.1 24h
Netanyahu out by...? Polymarket · June 30, 2027 44% · +1.5 24h
Next Israeli government formed by...? Polymarket · June 30, 2027 72% · +3.0 24h
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Polymarket · Yes 4% · -3.0 24h
The Money Talks — Israel's Skies Are Very Likely Closing — and the Airspace Shutdown Is Already Being Priced In
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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