World

A Ukraine-Russia Peace Deal Looks Increasingly Plausible by End of 2027

Source: Polymarket market “Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by...?”

probably not (42%)
Resolved The money put Yes at 10% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome December 31, 2027 42% Probably not · Falling · B · tracked 81 days peak 42% · low 6% (52d ago) 4 tier changes over tracking period venues disagree 51.8pp
24h move ▲ 3.0 pts December 31, 2027
Traded 24h $48K $3.1M all time
Resolves by 2027-01-01
Source markets 9 9 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

December 31, 2027 42% ▲ 3.0
June 30, 2027 26% ▲ 5.5
December 31, 2026 8% ▲ 1.0

Source markets for this story

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...? Polymarket · December 31, 2027 50% · +1.5 24h
Putin out as President of Russia by...? Polymarket · June 30, 2027 8%
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027? Polymarket · No meeting before 2027 96%
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026? Polymarket · China 94% · -0.5 24h
Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by...? Polymarket · December 31 24% · -7.0 24h
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? Polymarket · December 31, 2027 70%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by...? Polymarket · December 31, 2027 42% · +3.0 24h
NATO x Russia military clash by...? Polymarket · December 31 10%
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