A Ukraine-Russia Peace Deal Looks Increasingly Plausible by End of 2027
Source: Polymarket market “Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by...?”
probably not (42%)
Leading outcome
December 31, 2027 42%
Probably not · Falling · B · tracked 81 days
peak 42% · low 6% (52d ago)
4 tier changes over tracking period
venues disagree 51.8pp
24h move
▲
3.0 pts
December 31, 2027
Traded 24h
$48K
$3.1M all time
Resolves by
2027-01-01
Source markets
9
9 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
December 31, 2027
42%
▲
3.0
June 30, 2027
26%
▲
5.5
December 31, 2026
8%
▲
1.0
Source markets for this story
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
Polymarket · December 31, 2027 50% · +1.5 24h
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
Polymarket · June 30, 2027 8%
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
Polymarket · No meeting before 2027 96%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Polymarket · Yes 1%
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
Polymarket · China 94% · -0.5 24h
Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by...?
Polymarket · December 31 24% · -7.0 24h
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
Polymarket · December 31, 2027 70%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by...?
Polymarket · December 31, 2027 42% · +3.0 24h
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
Polymarket · December 31 10%
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