World

A Ukraine-Russia Peace Deal This Year Is All But Off the Table

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?”

very unlikely (8%)
Resolved The money put Yes at 10% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome Yes 8% Very unlikely · Falling · B · tracked 60 days peak 16% (59d ago) · low 6% (31d ago) 3 tier changes over tracking period
24h move ▲ 1.0 pts Yes
Traded 24h $16K $2.8M all time
Resolves by 2027-01-01
Source markets 12 12 markets · mixed

Source markets for this story

Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...? Polymarket · December 31 93% · +2.0 24h
Putin out as President of Russia by...? Polymarket · June 30, 2027 10%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? Polymarket · December 31, 2027 72%
Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026? Kalshi · 25,000+ 89% · -1.0 24h
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...? Polymarket · December 31, 2027 54% · +5.0 24h
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...? Polymarket · December 31 73% · -6.5 24h
Will Russia enter Khatnie by...? Polymarket · December 31 24% · -5.0 24h
Will Ukraine target Moscow on...? Polymarket · October 24 74% · +5.0 24h
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027? Polymarket · No meeting before 2027 92%
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...? Polymarket · October 16 88% · +4.0 24h
Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut? Polymarket · 1400+ 98% · +3.9 24h
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Polymarket · Yes 6%
The Money Talks — Russia's Capture of Dobropillia Is Very Likely a Matter of When, Not Whether
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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Russia and Ukraine Are Very Likely to Meet at the Diplomatic Table

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Updated 6:33 PM ET ▲ up overnight
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Updated 12:02 PM ET ▲ up sharply overnight
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Updated 3:00 AM ET – barely changed since yesterday
the numbers
traded today $713K markets read 4 venue Polymarket grade A tracked 86 days range 58% (60d ago) – 42% (12d ago) resolves in 5 days trending in today's news 8 tier changes venues disagree 5.5pp