A Ukraine-Russia Peace Deal This Year Is All But Off the Table
Source: Polymarket market “Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?”
very unlikely (10%)
Leading outcome
Yes 10%
Very unlikely · Falling · B
24h move
▼
3.0 pts
Yes
Traded 24h
$13K
$2.7M all time
Resolves by
2027-01-01
Source markets
7
7 markets · mixed
Source markets for this story
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
Polymarket · December 31 24% · -1.0 24h
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
Polymarket · June 30, 2027 51% · +0.5 24h
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
Polymarket · December 31 16%
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
Polymarket · China 55% · +14.5 24h
Will Russia enter Hannivka by...?
Polymarket · December 31 99% · +3.7 24h
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Polymarket · Yes 10% · -3.0 24h
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
Polymarket · December 31 80% · +1.5 24h
The Money Talks —
A NATO-Russia Clash by 2026 Is a Tail Risk, Not a Coming War
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