U.S.Ryan Elijah on track to win

Ryan Elijah Is Likely the Next FL-07 Republican Nominee

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “FL-07 Republican Primary Winner”

Ryan Elijah: likely (80%)
Leading outcome Ryan Elijah 80% Likely · D
24h move ▲ 23.0 pts Ryan Elijah
Traded 24h $11K $41K all time
Resolves by 2026-08-18 in 2 days

Where the money stands

Ryan Elijah 80% ▲ 23.0
Cory Mills 18% ▼ 21.0
Mike Johnson 0% 0.0
Sarah Ulrich 0% 0.0
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

More from U.S.

U.S. leaning Ken Paxton

Texas's Senate Race Is a Dead Heat Between Ken Paxton and James Talarico

Ken Paxton: a coin flip (51%)

A red state that was once a safe Republican hold is now a genuine toss-up, which means national resources and attention will flood in — and whichever party wins will have made a statement about the new electoral map.

Updated 6:07 PM ET ▲ up overnight
the numbers
traded today $101K venue Kalshi grade C
U.S. wide open

Republicans Are Likely to Lose Their Senate Majority in 2026

50: unlikely (17%)

While the House looks headed for Democratic control at 85%, the Senate is a genuine coin flip — the money's portrait of 2026 is a probable split reversal, with unified Democratic control still only a near-even proposition.

Updated 2:55 PM ET – barely changed since yesterday
the numbers
traded today $54K markets read 7 venue Kalshi grade B trending in today's news
U.S. leaning Sherrod Brown (D)

Ohio's Senate Race Is a Dead Heat, With Brown Holding a Razor-Thin Edge

Sherrod Brown (D): a coin flip (53%)

The broader Senate map tightens the picture: Democrats edge ahead in Ohio and Michigan while Republicans lock up Montana — a landscape where control of the chamber may hinge on a handful of races each sitting within the margin of uncertainty.

Updated 11:42 PM ET ▼ down overnight
the numbers
traded today $30K markets read 2 venue Polymarket grade B