U.S.

Ryan Elijah Is Poised to Win the FL-07 Republican Nomination

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “FL-07 Republican Primary Winner”

virtually certain (100%)
Resolved The money put Ryan Elijah at 80% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome Ryan Elijah 100% Virtually certain · Rising · B · tracked 64 days peak 100% (60d ago) · low 80% (63d ago) likely → virtually certain
24h move ▲ 14.9 pts Ryan Elijah
Traded 24h $12K $66K all time
Resolves by 2026-08-18
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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Democrats Are Increasingly Favored to Sweep Congress in the Midterms

Above 52: probably not (36%)

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Updated 12:47 PM ET ▲ up overnight
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48: unlikely (18%)

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Updated 5:58 PM ET – barely changed since yesterday
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U.S. wide open

The 2028 Democratic Nomination Race Has No Clear Front-Runner

Gavin Newsom: unlikely (14%)

With Newsom, Ocasio-Cortez, and Ossoff each sitting around 14%, the Democratic Party faces the most wide-open nominating contest in a generation — and on the Republican side, Vance's path to the nomination remains contested enough that the general election is anyone's game.

Updated 1:20 AM ET – barely changed since yesterday
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traded today $877K markets read 6 venue Kalshi grade A tracked 81 days venues disagree 28.1pp