Doris Matsui Is Now Likely to Hold CA-07
Source: Polymarket market “CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)”
Doris Matsui: likely (78%)
Leading outcome
Doris Matsui 78%
Likely · B
venues disagree 14.9pp
24h move
▲
2.5 pts
Doris Matsui
Traded 24h
$27K
$64K all time
Resolves by
2026-11-04
in 1 day
Source markets
116
116 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
Doris Matsui
78%
▲
2.5
Mai Vang
22%
▼
3.0
Source markets for this story
Who will control the House?
Kalshi · Democratic Party 94%
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Kalshi · Democrats sweep 74% · +3.0 24h
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Polymarket · Democrats Sweep 76% · +5.0 24h
Who will control the Senate?
Kalshi · Democratic Party 76% · +3.0 24h
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Polymarket · Democratic Party 94%
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
Polymarket · October 31 76% · -23.2 24h
Florida Governor winner?
Kalshi · Byron Donalds 62%
Texas Governor winner?
Kalshi · Greg Abbott 61% · -2.0 24h
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
Kalshi · Above 52 55% · +3.0 24h
California Governor winner? (Person)
Kalshi · Xavier Becerra 97% · -0.5 24h
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Polymarket · Democratic Party 78% · +5.0 24h
Texas Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · James Talarico (D) 74% · +1.0 24h
Ohio Governor winner?
Kalshi · Amy Acton 82% · +1.0 24h
Maine Senate winner?
Kalshi · Troy Jackson 74% · +1.0 24h
Michigan Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Abdul El-Sayed (D) 80% · +2.0 24h
Ohio Senate winner?
Kalshi · Sherrod Brown 72% · +1.0 24h
Iowa Senate winner?
Kalshi · Josh Turek 53% · +5.0 24h
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Polymarket · ≤47 56% · +5.0 24h
New York Governor winner?
Kalshi · Kathy Hochul 96% · -0.7 24h
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
Kalshi · 218+ Democratic seats 100% · -2.6 24h
Nevada Governor winner?
Kalshi · Aaron Ford 74% · -2.0 24h
Nebraska Senate winner?
Kalshi · Pete Ricketts 67% · -3.0 24h
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
Kalshi · 193 or more Republican seats 57%
Georgia Governor winner?
Kalshi · Keisha Lance Bottoms 72% · +3.0 24h
Alaska Senate winner?
Kalshi · Democratic party 70% · -2.0 24h
Texas Senate margin of victory
Kalshi · James Talarico, 0.5+ pts 74% · +1.0 24h
Texas Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Greg Abbott (R) 60% · -3.6 24h
Maine Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Troy Jackson (D) 74% · +1.0 24h
Maine-Texas Senate Combo
Kalshi · James Talarico and Troy Jackson 67% · +3.0 24h
Texas Governor-Senate combo
Kalshi · Greg Abbott and James Talarico win 44% · +5.0 24h
Florida Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Byron Donalds (R) 64% · +2.0 24h
Iowa Governor winner?
Kalshi · Rob Sand 86% · -1.0 24h
Michigan Senate winner? (Person)
Kalshi · Abdul El-Sayed 79% · +1.0 24h
Minnesota Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Peggy Flanagan (D) 92% · -1.5 24h
Ohio Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Amy Acton (D) 84% · +3.0 24h
California Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Xavier Becerra 98%
VA-05 House winner?
Kalshi · John McGuire 62% · -5.0 24h
Ohio Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Sherrod Brown (D) 72% · -1.0 24h
Arizona Governor winner?
Kalshi · Katie Hobbs 92% · +0.6 24h
Vermont Governor winner?
Kalshi · Phil Scott 67%
Alaska Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Mary Peltola 72% · -2.0 24h
Texas Senate: margin of victory
Kalshi · James Talarico, 2-4% 28% · +5.0 24h
Kansas Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Adam Hamilton (D) 62%
Blue tsunami in 2026?
Kalshi · Yes 68% · +3.0 24h
Nebraska Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Pete Ricketts (R) 70% · -2.0 24h
Texas Senate margin of victory
Kalshi · Ken Paxton, 0.5+ pts 26%
Iowa Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Josh Turek (D) 52% · +5.0 24h
Michigan Governor winner?
Kalshi · Jocelyn Benson 94% · +1.1 24h
South Carolina Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Darline Graham Nordone (R) 70%
Michigan Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Jocelyn Benson (D) 95%
Arizona Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Katie Hobbs (D) 94%
NC-13 House winner?
Kalshi · Brad Knott 66% · +9.0 24h
Montana Senate winner?
Kalshi · Kurt Alme 90%
Tennessee Governor winner?
Kalshi · Marsha Blackburn 94%
Mississippi Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) 86%
Nevada Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Aaron Ford (D) 76% · -3.0 24h
Wisconsin Governor winner?
Kalshi · David Crowley 86% · +3.0 24h
Montana Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Kurt Alme (R) 92%
PA-01 House winner?
Kalshi · Bob Harvie 64% · +8.0 24h
NC-13 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Brad Knott (R) 66% · +9.0 24h
Alabama Governor winner?
Kalshi · Tommy Tuberville 93% · -1.2 24h
Oklahoma Governor winner?
Kalshi · Mike Mazzei 90% · -1.3 24h
FL-25 House winner?
Kalshi · Jared Moskowitz 83% · +2.0 24h
New Hampshire Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Chris Pappas (D) 94% · -1.0 24h
FL-26 House winner?
Kalshi · Mario Díaz-Balart 86% · +1.0 24h
NC-03 House winner?
Kalshi · Greg Murphy 60% · +5.0 24h
NC-03 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Greg Murphy (R) 59% · +4.5 24h
Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket · Talarico 3-6% 26% · -8.0 24h
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
Polymarket · No Hormuz Agreement 100% · +2.8 24h
New York Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Kathy Hochul (D) 96% · -1.3 24h
Midterms: Democratic mega tsunami?
Kalshi · Yes 41% · +7.0 24h
New Hampshire Governor winner?
Kalshi · Kelly Ayotte 86% · +3.0 24h
Texas Governor margin of victory
Kalshi · Abbott, 0.5+ pts 61% · -4.0 24h
New Mexico Governor winner?
Kalshi · Deb Haaland 95% · +0.6 24h
Maine Senate margin of victory
Kalshi · Jackson, 0.5+ pts 71%
OK-05 House winner?
Kalshi · Stephanie Bice 86% · -2.0 24h
Florida Governor margin of victory
Kalshi · Donalds, 0.5+ pts 64% · +9.0 24h
South Dakota Senate winner?
Kalshi · Mike Rounds 94%
AZ-01 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Amish Shah (D) 79% · -1.5 24h
FL-14 House winner?
Kalshi · Kathy Castor 76% · +2.0 24h
Texas Senate: Exact outcome
Kalshi · Talarico defeats Paxton 74% · +1.0 24h
North Carolina Senate margin of victory
Kalshi · Cooper, 2+ pts 97% · +3.2 24h
Blue wave in 2026?
Polymarket · Yes 92% · +1.5 24h
North Carolina Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Roy Cooper (D) 98%
Massachusetts Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Maura Healey (D) 98%
Alaska Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 89%
Vermont Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Phil Scott (R) 68% · +1.0 24h
NC-09 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Richard Hudson (R) 66%
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Polymarket · Below 190 44% · +3.0 24h
Tennessee Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Marsha Blackburn (R) 94% · +0.5 24h
TX-15 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Bobby Pulido (D) 89% · +0.5 24h
Senate Combo: Texas, Michigan, Maine
Polymarket · Dems sweep 66% · -1.5 24h
Georgia Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) 72% · +1.5 24h
Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets)
Polymarket · 48+ 44% · -5.0 24h
NY-17 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Cait Conley (D) 56% · -2.0 24h
TX-23 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Brandon Herrera (R) 56% · +3.0 24h
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
Polymarket · Yes 1% · -2.7 24h
Oregon Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Tina Kotek (D) 84%
FL-22 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Pia Dandiya (D) 74% · -1.0 24h
How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?
Polymarket · ≤46 and ≤192 34% · +6.6 24h
Louisiana Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Julia Letlow (R) 88%
Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?
Polymarket · Oil ≥ $80; D Senate 76% · +3.7 24h
Which party will hold more governorships after the midterms?
Polymarket · Democratic Party 88% · +2.5 24h
NJ-02 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Jeff Van Drew (R) 68% · -1.0 24h
VA-05 House Election Winner
Polymarket · John McGuire (R) 60% · -5.0 24h
CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)
Polymarket · Doris Matsui 78% · +2.5 24h
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · David Crowley (D) 86% · +1.0 24h
Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket · El-Sayed 6-9% 22% · -1.0 24h
AR-02 House Election Winner
Polymarket · French Hill (R) 74% · -8.0 24h
Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Josh Shapiro (D) 99%
Iowa Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Rob Sand (D) 88% · +1.5 24h
TX-35 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Johnny Garcia (D) 74% · +0.5 24h
FL-27 House Election Winner
Polymarket · María Elvira Salazar (R) 64% · +6.0 24h
Texas Senate and Governor Combo
Polymarket · Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 44% · +6.5 24h
Florida Governor Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket · Donalds 0-3% 26% · +1.0 24h
SC-01 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Jenny Costa Honeycutt (R) 52% · +2.0 24h
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