The ECB Will Raise Rates in September
Source: Polymarket market “ECB Interest Rates: September 2026”
25 bps increase: virtually certain (100%)
Leading outcome
25 bps increase 100%
Virtually certain · Rising · D · tracked 40 days
peak 100% · low 84% (28d ago)
24h move
0.0 pts
25 bps increase
Traded 24h
$20K
$458K all time
Resolves by
2026-09-10
in 2 days
Where the money stands
25 bps increase
100%
0.0
No change
0%
0.0
50+ bps increase
0%
0.0
50+ bps decrease
0%
0.0
25 bps decrease
0%
0.0
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