One-in-Four Chance OpenAI Declares AGI This Year
Source: Polymarket market “OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?”
probably not (26%)
Leading outcome
Yes 26%
Probably not · B
24h move
▲
6.0 pts
Yes
Traded 24h
$12K
$116K all time
Resolves by
2026-12-31
Source markets
3
3 markets · mixed
Source markets for this story
GPT-6 released by…?
Polymarket · October 31, 2026 100% · +5.3 24h
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Kalshi · Before 2030 59% · -0.9 24h
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Polymarket · Yes 26% · +6.0 24h
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