U.S.Ashley Moody (R) on track to win

Ashley Moody Is Very Likely to Hold Florida for Republicans in 2026

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Florida Senate Election Winner”

Ashley Moody (R): very likely (90%)
Resolved The money put Ashley Moody (R) at 92% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome Ashley Moody (R) 90% Very likely · Stable · B · tracked 64 days venues disagree 15.8pp
24h move 0.0 pts Ashley Moody (R)
Traded 24h $27K $304K all time
Resolves by 2026-11-04
Source markets 52 52 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Ashley Moody (R) 90% 0.0
Angie Nixon (D) 10% ▲ 1.0

Source markets for this story

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? Kalshi · Democrats sweep 63%
Which party will win the U.S. House? Kalshi · Democratic Party 90%
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Polymarket · Democrats Sweep 66%
Texas Senate winner? Kalshi · James Talarico 66% · +1.0 24h
Which party will win the U.S. Senate? Kalshi · Democratic Party 64% · +1.0 24h
Which party will win the House in 2026? Polymarket · Democratic Party 92% · -1.0 24h
South Carolina Senate winner? Kalshi · Darline Graham 76% · -3.0 24h
Texas Senate Election Winner Polymarket · James Talarico (D) 66% · +3.0 24h
Florida Senate winner? Kalshi · Ashley Moody 89%
Michigan Senate winner? Kalshi · Abdul El-Sayed 68% · +1.0 24h
Maine-Texas Senate Combo Kalshi · James Talarico and Troy Jackson 48% · -1.0 24h
Minnesota Senate winner? Kalshi · Peggy Flanagan 84% · -1.0 24h
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? Kalshi · Above 52 37% · -2.0 24h
Which party will win the Senate in 2026? Polymarket · Democratic Party 66% · +1.0 24h
Maine Senate winner? Kalshi · Troy Jackson 60%
Maine Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Troy Jackson (D) 60%
Alaska Senate winner? Kalshi · Democratic party 74% · -1.0 24h
MN-05 House winner? Kalshi · Ilhan Omar 95% · +0.6 24h
Blue wave in 2026? Kalshi · Yes 82% · +1.0 24h
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? Kalshi · 193 or more Republican seats 68% · +2.5 24h
Mississippi Senate winner? Kalshi · Cindy Hyde-Smith 88%
Alaska Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Mary Peltola 74% · -1.0 24h
Michigan Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Abdul El-Sayed (D) 68%
Ohio Senate winner? Kalshi · Sherrod Brown 68%
Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms? Polymarket · Oil ≥ $80; D Senate 65% · -0.6 24h
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms? Polymarket · No Hormuz Agreement 94% · +2.2 24h
NC-03 House winner? Kalshi · Greg Murphy 68% · +1.0 24h
Kansas Senate winner? Kalshi · Roger Marshall 61%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory Kalshi · Graham, 1+ pts 76%
Georgia Senate winner? Kalshi · Jon Ossoff 95%
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? Kalshi · 218+ Democratic seats 94% · +0.9 24h
Nebraska Senate winner? Kalshi · Pete Ricketts 74%
Texas Senate margin of victory Kalshi · James Talarico, 1+ pts 61% · -17.0 24h
Ohio Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Sherrod Brown (D) 68% · +0.5 24h
Mississippi Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) 86% · -1.0 24h
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Polymarket · ≤47 42% · +1.5 24h
South Carolina Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Darline Graham Nordone (R) 78% · -3.0 24h
New Hampshire Senate winner? Kalshi · Chris Pappas 90%
NJ-02 House Election Winner Polymarket · Jeff Van Drew (R) 71% · -9.0 24h
Iowa Senate winner? Kalshi · Ashley Hinson 59%
Closest Senate race in 2026? Kalshi · Iowa 16% · -1.0 24h
Maine Senate winner? (Person) Kalshi · Troy Jackson 59% · -1.0 24h
Montana Senate winner? Kalshi · Kurt Alme 91% · +0.6 24h
Kansas Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Roger Marshall (R) 62% · -1.0 24h
AZ-01 House Election Winner Polymarket · Amish Shah (D) 78% · -3.0 24h
Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms? Polymarket · Oil ≥ $85; D Senate 64%
Florida Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Ashley Moody (R) 90%
How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary? Polymarket · 10-12 100% · +4.2 24h
Minnesota Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Peggy Flanagan (D) 86%
North Carolina Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Roy Cooper (D) 97%
FL-25 House Election Winner Polymarket · Jared Moskowitz (D) 77% · -4.0 24h
Iowa Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Ashley Hinson (R) 57% · -0.5 24h
The Money Talks — The House Is Already Slipping Away From Republicans
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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