U.S.Luciano Zucco on track to win

Luciano Zucco Is Likely to Win the Rio Grande do Sul Governorship

By Priced In News Staff

Luciano Zucco: likely (86%)

Leading outcome Luciano Zucco 86% Likely · B very likely → likely venues disagree 32.4pp

24h move ▲ 6.0 pts Luciano Zucco

Traded 24h $16K $145K all time

Resolves by 2026-10-05 in 5 days

Where the money stands

Luciano Zucco 86% ▲ 6.0

Juliana Brizola 11% ▼ 7.0

Gabriel Souza 4% ▲ 0.9

Marcelo Maranata 0% 0.0

Luis Carlos Heinze 0% 0.0

Brazil Presidential Election Polymarket · Flávio Bolsonaro 61% · +0.8 24h

Brazil Presidential election winner? Kalshi · Flávio Bolsonaro 60% · +2.0 24h

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Polymarket · Flávio Bolsonaro 72% · -4.0 24h

Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner Polymarket · Lula 72% · -4.0 24h

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place Polymarket · Renan Santos 55% · +4.0 24h

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? Polymarket · Yes 6% · -0.8 24h

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory Polymarket · Lula da Silva <5% 57% · -1.0 24h

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Renan Santos Vote Share? Polymarket · 2-4% 46% · +2.0 24h

São Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place Polymarket · Guilherme Derrite 75% · +3.5 24h

São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place Polymarket · André do Prado 66% · +3.6 24h

Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round? Polymarket · Yes 93% · +10.7 24h

Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner Polymarket · Luciano Zucco 86% · +6.0 24h