Finance

A US Recession This Year Is Very Unlikely

Source: Polymarket market “US recession by end of 2026?”

virtually impossible (2%)
Resolved The money put Yes at 10% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome Yes 2% Virtually impossible · Falling · C · tracked 59 days peak 18% (57d ago) · low 2% 2 tier changes over tracking period
24h move 0.0 pts Yes
Traded 24h $23K $2.5M all time
Resolves by 2026-12-31
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page