A US Recession This Year Is Very Unlikely
Source: Polymarket market “US recession by end of 2026?”
virtually impossible (2%)
Leading outcome
Yes 2%
Virtually impossible · Falling · C · tracked 59 days
peak 18% (57d ago) · low 2%
2 tier changes over tracking period
24h move
0.0 pts
Yes
Traded 24h
$23K
$2.5M all time
Resolves by
2026-12-31
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