U.S.wide open

Trump Has Chosen His Next FDA Commissioner

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Who will Trump announce as next FDA commissioner?”

Kyle Diamantas: virtually impossible (0%)
Resolved The money put Stephen Hahn at 1% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome Kyle Diamantas 0% Virtually impossible · D · tracked 61 days probably not → virtually impossible
24h move ▼ 17.9 pts Kyle Diamantas
Traded 24h $19K $39K all time
Resolves by 2026-12-31

Where the money stands

Kyle Diamantas 0% ▼ 17.9
Stephen Hahn 0% ▼ 6.2
Brett Giroir 0% ▼ 8.3
Grace Graham 0% ▼ 3.8
Sara Brenner 0% ▼ 7.2
No announcement by December 31 0% ▼ 32.2
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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U.S. Democratic Party on track to win

Democrats Are Very Likely to Retake the House in 2026

Democratic Party: very likely (92%)

A full sweep — House and Senate both flipping — is now priced at roughly 60%, meaning the House race is nearly settled in the money's view while the Senate remains genuinely competitive; Texas and Ohio are the fulcrums that separate a wave from a split result.

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U.S. wide open

Republicans Likely Lose the Senate in 2026, With Texas the Decisive Battleground

48: unlikely (18%)

What had been a long-shot Democratic Senate takeover is now the clear directional bet — Texas, where Democrats are favored at 61-62%, is the linchpin; if it flips, the map for a Republican majority collapses entirely.

Updated 5:58 PM ET – barely changed since yesterday
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U.S. odds favor Pete Ricketts (R)

Pete Ricketts Leads Nebraska's Senate Race but His Edge Has Narrowed

Pete Ricketts (R): leaning yes (74%)

An independent challenger is absorbing enough support to keep this race genuinely competitive — Ricketts holds the advantage, but the contest is no longer comfortably in Republican column, and the independent's staying power makes this one to watch through November.

Updated 9:45 AM ET ▲ up overnight
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