World

A Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire by End of 2027 Is the Odds-On Expectation

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?”

leaning yes (70%)
Resolved The money put December 31 at 28% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome December 31, 2027 70% Leaning yes · Stable · B · tracked 101 days peak 72% (43d ago) · low 26% (83d ago) 5 tier changes over tracking period
24h move 0.0 pts December 31, 2027
Traded 24h $42K $10.5M all time
Resolves by 2027-07-01
Source markets 8 8 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

December 31, 2027 70% 0.0
November 30, 2027 68% ▲ 0.5
October 31, 2027 64% 0.0
September 30, 2027 64% ▼ 0.5
August 31, 2027 64% 0.0
July 31, 2027 59% ▼ 1.0

Source markets for this story

Putin out as President of Russia by...? Polymarket · June 30, 2027 10% · +1.0 24h
Which cities will Russia enter by December 31? Polymarket · Druzkhivka 20% · +2.0 24h
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? Polymarket · December 31, 2027 70%
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026? Polymarket · China 88% · +1.5 24h
Will Russia invade another country by...? Polymarket · December 31, 2027 18% · -1.5 24h
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...? Polymarket · December 31, 2027 42%
NATO x Russia military clash by...? Polymarket · December 31 12% · -1.0 24h
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? Polymarket · June 30, 2027 7% · -0.5 24h
The Money Talks — Russia's Capture of Dobropillia Is Very Likely a Matter of When, Not Whether
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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