New Zealand's Election Is a Dead Heat Between Luxon and Hipkins
Source: Polymarket market “Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?”
Christopher Luxon: likely (78%)
Leading outcome
Christopher Luxon 78%
Likely · Rising · A · tracked 11 days
peak 80% · low 48% (10d ago)
7 tier changes over tracking period
24h move
▲
30.5 pts
Christopher Luxon
Traded 24h
$64K
$324K all time
Resolves by
2026-11-08
Today
Source markets
6
6 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
Christopher Luxon
78%
▲
30.5
Chris Hipkins
15%
▼
33.0
Winston Peters
0%
0.0
Nicola Willis
0%
0.0
Chlöe Swarbrick
0%
0.0
David Seymour
0%
0.0
Source markets for this story
New Zealand legislative election winner?
Polymarket · National Party 98% · +8.7 24h
Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?
Polymarket · Christopher Luxon 78% · +30.5 24h
New Zealand general election winner?
Kalshi · National 37% · -38.0 24h
Crude Oil all time high by...?
Polymarket · March 31, 2027 20% · -0.5 24h
NZ Election: National Party # of seats?
Polymarket · 40-44 99% · +40.5 24h
New Zealand Election: 2nd Place
Polymarket · Labour Party 98% · +10.9 24h
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