Worldodds favor National + ACT + NZF

New Zealand's Current Coalition Leans Toward Holding Power

Source: Polymarket market “Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?”

National + ACT + NZF: leaning yes (55%)
Leading outcome National + ACT + NZF 55% Leaning yes · D · tracked 84 days
24h move ▲ 7.0 pts National + ACT + NZF
Traded 24h $19K $96K all time
Resolves by 2026-11-08 in 3 days

Where the money stands

National + ACT + NZF 55% ▲ 7.0
Labour + Green + Maori 22% ▼ 7.0
Labour + Green 17% ▼ 3.2
Other 3% 0.1
National + ACT 1% 0.1
National + Labour 0% 0.2
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page