Mélenchon, Le Pen, and a Crowded Field Are Very Likely to Reach the 2027 French Ballot
Source: Polymarket market “2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?”
very likely (96%)
Leading outcome
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 96%
Very likely · Stable · C · tracked 81 days
venues disagree 80.0pp
24h move
▼
1.0 pts
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
Traded 24h
$61K
$784K all time
Resolves by
2027-04-18
Source markets
3
3 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
96%
▼
1.0
Marine Le Pen
92%
▲
0.5
Nathalie Arthaud
91%
▼
1.5
David Lisnard
88%
▲
8.0
Éric Zemmour
85%
▲
3.0
Raphaël Glucksmann
84%
0.0
Source markets for this story
Next French Presidential Election
Polymarket · Marine Le Pen 46%
Next French presidential election winner?
Kalshi · Marine Le Pen 50% · +1.0 24h
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Polymarket · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 96% · -1.0 24h
Get an alert when French Presidential Election moves.
The Front Page, every morning — what the markets believe about the world.