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Mélenchon, Le Pen, and a Crowded Field Are Very Likely to Reach the 2027 French Ballot

Source: Polymarket market “2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?”

very likely (96%)
Resolved The money put Jean-Luc Mélenchon at 94% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome Jean-Luc Mélenchon 96% Very likely · Stable · C · tracked 81 days venues disagree 80.0pp
24h move ▼ 1.0 pts Jean-Luc Mélenchon
Traded 24h $61K $784K all time
Resolves by 2027-04-18
Source markets 3 3 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 96% ▼ 1.0
Marine Le Pen 92% ▲ 0.5
Nathalie Arthaud 91% ▼ 1.5
David Lisnard 88% ▲ 8.0
Éric Zemmour 85% ▲ 3.0
Raphaël Glucksmann 84% 0.0

Source markets for this story

Next French Presidential Election Polymarket · Marine Le Pen 46%
Next French presidential election winner? Kalshi · Marine Le Pen 50% · +1.0 24h
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? Polymarket · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 96% · -1.0 24h
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page