Tyler Robinson's Homicide Conviction Looks More Unlikely Than Not
Source: Polymarket market “Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?”
probably not (33%)
Leading outcome
Yes 33%
Probably not · Stable · C · tracked 40 days
peak 49% (35d ago) · low 30% (32d ago)
2 tier changes over tracking period
24h move
▲
1.0 pts
Yes
Traded 24h
$58K
$527K all time
Resolves by
2027-08-01
The Front Page, every morning — what the markets believe about the world.