Curiosities

Mojtaba Khamenei Is Likely to Remain Out of Public Sight All Year

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?”

unlikely (20%)
Resolved The money put December 31 at 30% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome December 31 20% Unlikely · Rising · D · tracked 40 days peak 32% (27d ago) · low 20%
24h move ▼ 1.0 pts December 31
Traded 24h $10K $7.1M all time
Resolves by 2027-01-01

Where the money stands

December 31 20% ▼ 1.0
October 31 10% 0.0
September 30 3% 0.1
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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very likely (91%)

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Curiosities

A Kanye West Russia Concert Looks Unlikely Before October 31

probably not (29%)

That real money is staking anything on this at all is the story — the market exists because the combination of Kanye's unpredictability and Russia's appetite for Western celebrity legitimacy makes even improbable spectacles feel plausible enough to price.

Updated 10:07 PM ET ▼ down overnight
the numbers
traded today $25K venue Polymarket grade D tracked 14 days range 58% – 20%