Finance

OpenAI Is Now Leaning Toward a Consumer Hardware Launch This Year

Source: Polymarket market “Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?”

leaning yes (60%)
Leading outcome December 31, 2026 60% Leaning yes · Falling · B · tracked 45 days peak 60% · low 9% (36d ago) unlikely → leaning yes 3 tier changes over tracking period venues disagree 37.5pp
24h move ▲ 39.5 pts December 31, 2026
Traded 24h $24K $396K all time
Resolves by 2027-01-01
Source markets 13 13 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

December 31, 2026 60% ▲ 39.5
October 31, 2026 38% ▲ 32.0

Source markets for this story

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 Polymarket · Harry Kane 56%
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...? Polymarket · December 31, 2026 60% · +39.5 24h
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap Polymarket · 1.5T+ 69% · +2.4 24h
OpenAI IPO by...? Polymarket · June 30, 2027 56% · +1.0 24h
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap Polymarket · No IPO by December 31, 2026 95% · -0.8 24h
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? Polymarket · Anthropic 56% · +1.4 24h
What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be? Polymarket · $1.75T–$2.0T 25%
Which banks will take OpenAI public? Kalshi · Raymond James 42% · +6.0 24h
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first? Kalshi · Anthropic 92%
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Polymarket · Yes 94%
When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO? Kalshi · Before Apr 1, 2027 70% · +36.0 24h
Which bank will lead OpenAI's IPO? Kalshi · Goldman Sachs 79%
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page