OpenAI Is Now Leaning Toward a Consumer Hardware Launch This Year
Source: Polymarket market “Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?”
leaning yes (60%)
Leading outcome
December 31, 2026 60%
Leaning yes · Falling · B · tracked 45 days
peak 60% · low 9% (36d ago)
unlikely → leaning yes
3 tier changes over tracking period
venues disagree 37.5pp
24h move
▲
39.5 pts
December 31, 2026
Traded 24h
$24K
$396K all time
Resolves by
2027-01-01
Source markets
13
13 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
December 31, 2026
60%
▲
39.5
October 31, 2026
38%
▲
32.0
Source markets for this story
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Polymarket · Harry Kane 56%
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
Polymarket · December 31, 2026 60% · +39.5 24h
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
Polymarket · 1.5T+ 69% · +2.4 24h
OpenAI IPO by...?
Polymarket · June 30, 2027 56% · +1.0 24h
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
Polymarket · No IPO by December 31, 2026 95% · -0.8 24h
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Polymarket · Anthropic 56% · +1.4 24h
What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Polymarket · $1.75T–$2.0T 25%
Which banks will take OpenAI public?
Kalshi · Raymond James 42% · +6.0 24h
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?
Kalshi · Anthropic 92%
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Polymarket · Yes 94%
When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?
Kalshi · Before Apr 1, 2027 70% · +36.0 24h
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
Polymarket · $800B 96%
Which bank will lead OpenAI's IPO?
Kalshi · Goldman Sachs 79%
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