World

Edi Rama Looks Set to Survive as Albania's Prime Minister This Year

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?”

unlikely (22%)
Leading outcome Yes 22% Unlikely · C
24h move ▲ 8.5 pts Yes
Traded 24h $23K $203K all time
Resolves by 2027-01-01
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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Houthi Grip on Perim Island Looks Set to Last Through Year-End

probably not (37%)

What had been a coin flip is now probably not happening — confidence that the island changes hands by December has collapsed from a peak three days ago, even as Saudi military action looks increasingly likely nearby. The ceasefire holds, but Houthi territorial control does too.

Updated 8:17 PM ET ▼ down sharply overnight
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Le Pen's Presidential Bid Is Now a Coin Flip

Marine Le Pen: a coin flip (47%)

What had been probably not is now a genuine dead heat — but a market that has swung this sharply twice before should not be read as settled; her 89% chance of reaching the second round means the real question is who faces her there, in a fractured field where Philippe, Lisnard, and Mélenchon together hold as much weight as she does.

Updated 1:13 PM ET ▲ up overnight
the numbers
traded today $733K venue Polymarket grade B tracked 79 days range 47% (0d ago) – 29% (78d ago) trending in today's news probably not → a coin flip 3 tier changes