AfD Is Likely to Win Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, With the SPD Closing In
Source: Polymarket market “Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner”
AfD: leaning yes (74%)
Leading outcome
AfD 74%
Leaning yes · Stable · C · tracked 21 days
peak 94% (13d ago) · low 78% (6d ago)
likely → leaning yes
3 tier changes over tracking period
24h move
▼
9.5 pts
AfD
Traded 24h
$97K
$1.2M all time
Resolves by
2026-09-20
in 4 days
Where the money stands
AfD
74%
▼
9.5
SPD
23%
▲
7.5
CDU
0%
0.0
Grüne
0%
0.0
FDP
0%
0.0
Linke
0%
0.0
The Front Page, every morning — what the markets believe about the world.