Saudi Pipeline Restart by September Is Now a Coin Flip
Source: Polymarket market “Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?”
a coin flip (46%)
Leading outcome
September 30 46%
A coin flip · Falling · B · tracked 5 days
peak 87% (3d ago) · low 52% (1d ago)
2 tier changes over tracking period
24h move
▼
6.0 pts
September 30
Traded 24h
$68K
$195K all time
Resolves by
2026-10-01
Source markets
4
4 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
September 30
46%
▼
6.0
September 15
1%
▼
2.7
Source markets for this story
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
Polymarket · December 31 22%
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?
Polymarket · September 30 46% · -6.0 24h
How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
Kalshi · $115.01 or above 57% · +10.8 24h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
Polymarket · Yes 0%
The Money Talks —
An Iran-Oman Hormuz Deal Is Probably Coming — But Don't Expect the Strait to Follow
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