World

Alberta Will Very Likely Not Vote for Independence in 2026

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?”

very unlikely (6%)
Resolved The money put Yes at 6% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome Yes 6% Very unlikely · D
24h move ▼ 1.5 pts Yes
Traded 24h $9K $272K all time
Resolves by 2026-12-31
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

More from World

World

Israel's Military Action Against Lebanon Resumes on September 3

very likely (92%)

The ceasefire's durability was always the open question, and this is a decisive answer: the pause is over, and the conflict's next phase begins on a specific, near-certain date rather than drifting into ambiguity.

Updated 4:27 PM ET – barely changed since yesterday
the numbers
traded today $28K markets read 2 venue Polymarket grade C
World

Hormuz Will Not Return to Normal Before September 15

very unlikely (4%)

The strait remains a choke point with no resolution in sight — whatever disruption closed it to normal traffic is expected to persist through mid-September, keeping global shipping and energy markets in a prolonged state of uncertainty.

Updated 10:50 PM ET – barely changed since yesterday
the numbers
traded today $84K markets read 8 venue Polymarket grade A
World

A U.S. Invasion of Iran Before 2027 Remains Unlikely

unlikely (16%)

Despite sustained geopolitical tension, the money is not pricing a ground war — at 16%, invasion sits in tail-risk territory, suggesting that whatever escalation is underway, troops-on-the-ground is still seen as a political bridge too far.

Updated 2:58 PM ET – barely changed since yesterday
the numbers
traded today $19K markets read 17 venue Polymarket grade A trending in today's news