Alberta Will Not Vote for Independence in 2026
Source: Polymarket market “Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?”
virtually impossible (2%)
Leading outcome
Yes 2%
Virtually impossible · Falling · C · tracked 46 days
peak 11% (37d ago) · low 2%
3 tier changes over tracking period
24h move
▼
0.5 pts
Yes
Traded 24h
$19K
$410K all time
Resolves by
2026-10-20
in 1 day
Source markets
2
2 markets · mixed
Source markets for this story
Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory
Polymarket · Remain 40–60% 66% · -7.5 24h
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Polymarket · Yes 2% · -0.5 24h
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