Curiosities

A Tesla-SpaceX Merger Is Now Merely an Even-Money Proposition Before 2028

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?”

leaning yes (72%)
Resolved The money put December 31 at 18% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome December 31, 2027 72% Leaning yes · Stable · C · tracked 85 days peak 79% (37d ago) · low 17% (84d ago) 6 tier changes over tracking period
24h move ▲ 5.5 pts December 31, 2027
Traded 24h $60K $1.5M all time
Resolves by 2028-01-01

Where the money stands

December 31, 2027 72% ▲ 5.5
June 30, 2027 55% ▼ 2.0
February 28, 2027 36% ▼ 3.5
January 31, 2027 28% ▼ 4.5
December 31, 2026 20% ▲ 0.5
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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very unlikely (3%)

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Updated 3:52 PM ET – barely changed since yesterday
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traded today $31K venue Polymarket grade C tracked 85 days