U.S.Democratic Party on track to win

Democrats Will Hold Virginia's Fourth Congressional District

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “VA-04 House Election Winner”

Democratic Party: very likely (95%)
Resolved The money put Democratic Party at 95% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome Democratic Party 95% Very likely · D
24h move ▲ 0.5 pts Democratic Party
Traded 24h $15K $41K all time
Resolves by 2026-11-03

Where the money stands

Democratic Party 95% ▲ 0.5
Republican Party 2% ▼ 3.1
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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U.S. Democratic Party on track to win

Democrats Are Likely to Retake the House in 2026

Democratic Party: likely (88%)

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Updated 1:07 PM ET – barely changed since yesterday
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traded today $41K markets read 4 venue Polymarket grade B trending in today's news