Valerie Foushee Is Very Likely to Hold NC-04 for Democrats
Source: Polymarket market “NC-04 House Election Winner”
Valerie Foushee (D): very likely (97%)
Leading outcome
Valerie Foushee (D) 97%
Very likely · B
virtually certain → very likely
venues disagree 26.2pp
24h move
▲
0.7 pts
Valerie Foushee (D)
Traded 24h
$33K
$84K all time
Resolves by
2026-11-04
Source markets
34
34 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
Valerie Foushee (D)
97%
▲
0.7
Max Ganorkar (R)
3%
▼
1.0
Source markets for this story
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Kalshi · Democrats sweep 64% · -1.0 24h
Which party will win the U.S. House?
Kalshi · Democratic Party 90% · -1.5 24h
Texas Senate winner?
Kalshi · James Talarico 66%
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Polymarket · Democratic Party 92%
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
Kalshi · Democratic Party 63% · -1.0 24h
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Polymarket · Democrats Sweep 64%
Michigan Senate winner?
Kalshi · Abdul El-Sayed 71% · -3.0 24h
Nebraska Senate winner?
Kalshi · Pete Ricketts 73% · +1.0 24h
Kansas Senate winner?
Kalshi · Roger Marshall 64% · -2.0 24h
Texas Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · James Talarico (D) 66% · +1.0 24h
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
Kalshi · Above 52 38% · +1.0 24h
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
Kalshi · 218+ Democratic seats 97% · +1.2 24h
Iowa Senate winner?
Kalshi · Ashley Hinson 55%
Maine Senate winner?
Kalshi · Troy Jackson 58% · +1.0 24h
New Hampshire Senate winner?
Kalshi · Chris Pappas 90%
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
Kalshi · 48 17% · -3.0 24h
Minnesota Senate winner?
Kalshi · Peggy Flanagan 87% · +1.0 24h
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
Kalshi · 193 or more Republican seats 81% · +4.3 24h
Nebraska Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Pete Ricketts (R) 72% · -2.0 24h
Tennessee Senate winner?
Kalshi · Bill Hagerty 92% · -3.0 24h
Alaska Senate winner?
Kalshi · Democratic party 76% · +1.0 24h
Kansas Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Roger Marshall (R) 64% · -3.0 24h
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Polymarket · Yes 98%
South Carolina Senate winner?
Kalshi · Darline Graham 86%
Ohio Senate winner?
Kalshi · Sherrod Brown 63%
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
Kalshi · Democrats, 8 to 10% 28% · -1.0 24h
Michigan Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Abdul El-Sayed (D) 72% · -1.0 24h
Florida Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Ashley Moody (R) 90%
NC-04 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Valerie Foushee (D) 97% · +0.7 24h
South Carolina Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Darline Graham Nordone (R) 84% · -1.0 24h
Iowa Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Ashley Hinson (R) 55% · -3.0 24h
WI-05 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Scott Fitzgerald (R) 96%
Ohio Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Sherrod Brown (D) 62%
FL-08 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Mike Haridopolos (R) 93% · -1.1 24h
The Money Talks —
The House Is Already Slipping Away From Republicans
Get an alert when Us 2026 Midterms moves.
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