Russia Is Unlikely to Open a New Front by End of 2027
Source: Polymarket market “Will Russia invade another country by...?”
unlikely (18%)
Leading outcome
December 31, 2027 18%
Unlikely · Stable · B · tracked 74 days
peak 19% (1d ago) · low 6% (53d ago)
24h move
▼
1.5 pts
December 31, 2027
Traded 24h
$38K
$744K all time
Resolves by
2028-01-01
Source markets
8
8 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
December 31, 2027
18%
▼
1.5
December 31, 2026
3%
0.4
Source markets for this story
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
Polymarket · June 30, 2027 10% · +1.0 24h
Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
Polymarket · Druzkhivka 20% · +2.0 24h
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
Polymarket · December 31, 2027 70%
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
Polymarket · China 88% · +1.5 24h
Will Russia invade another country by...?
Polymarket · December 31, 2027 18% · -1.5 24h
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
Polymarket · December 31, 2027 42%
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
Polymarket · December 31 12% · -1.0 24h
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
Polymarket · June 30, 2027 7% · -0.5 24h
Get an alert when Russia Ukraine War moves.
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