World

Russia Is Unlikely to Open a New Front by End of 2027

Source: Polymarket market “Will Russia invade another country by...?”

unlikely (18%)
Resolved The money put Yes at 8% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome December 31, 2027 18% Unlikely · Stable · B · tracked 74 days peak 19% (1d ago) · low 6% (53d ago)
24h move ▼ 1.5 pts December 31, 2027
Traded 24h $38K $744K all time
Resolves by 2028-01-01
Source markets 8 8 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

December 31, 2027 18% ▼ 1.5
December 31, 2026 3% 0.4

Source markets for this story

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