World

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?”

unlikely (13%)
From our archive This story ran in an earlier edition of the paper. It stays on the record at this address; the front page and sections carry only current stories.
Leading outcome December 31 13% Unlikely · D · tracked 8 days
24h move ▼ 5.5 pts December 31
Traded 24h $11K $2.2M all time
Resolves by 2027-01-01
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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very likely (97%)

The guns are going quiet faster than anyone expected, but the economic chokehold endures: with Hormuz normalization priced at just 18% by year-end and the Saudi pipeline restart in doubt, a pause in hostilities looks far more durable than the conditions that triggered them.

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United Russia Is Likely to Dominate the Coming Parliamentary Election

United Russia (ER): likely (76%)

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Updated 3:50 PM ET ▲ up overnight
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traded today $304K markets read 4 venue Polymarket grade B tracked 47 days range 80% (0d ago) – 60% (45d ago) resolves in 6 days trending in today's news