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A Major Meteor Strike This Year Is Unlikely but Not Negligible

Source: Polymarket market “Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?”

unlikely (12%)
Resolved The money put Yes at 12% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome Yes 12% Unlikely · D
24h move ▼ 0.5 pts Yes
Traded 24h $14K $200K all time
Resolves by 2026-12-31
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page