U.S.

Between 10 and 12 Democratic House Incumbents Likely Lose Their Primaries in 2026

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?”

10-12 incumbents defeated: likely (76%)
Leading outcome 10-12 incumbents defeated 76% Likely · D
24h move ▲ 3.2 pts 10-12 incumbents defeated
Traded 24h $15K $50K all time
Resolves by —

Where the money stands

10-12 76% ▲ 3.2
13-15 23% ▲ 10.8
7-9 2% ▼ 1.5
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