Between 10 and 12 Democratic House Incumbents Likely Lose Their Primaries in 2026
Source: Polymarket market “How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?”
10-12 incumbents defeated: likely (76%)
Leading outcome
10-12 incumbents defeated 76%
Likely · D · tracked 46 days
leaning yes → likely
24h move
▲
3.2 pts
10-12 incumbents defeated
Traded 24h
$15K
$50K all time
Resolves by
—
Where the money stands
10-12
76%
▲
3.2
13-15
23%
▲
10.8
7-9
2%
▼
1.5
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