World

Marco Rubio Is Likely to Remain Secretary of State Through Early 2027

By Priced In News Staff

unlikely (21%)

Leading outcome March 31, 2027 21% Unlikely · B venues disagree 19.5pp

24h move 0.0 pts March 31, 2027

Traded 24h $49K $49K all time

Resolves by 2027-04-01

Where the money stands

March 31, 2027 21% 0.0

December 31, 2026 15% 0.0

November 15, 2026 5% 0.0

November 30, 2026 4% 0.0

November 8, 2026 2% 0.0

November 6, 2026 1% 0.0

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? Kalshi · Before Jan 1, 2029 91% · -2.0 24h

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? Kalshi · Ric Grenell 58% · +6.0 24h

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Polymarket · Yes 42% · -3.5 24h

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? Polymarket · Yes 26% · -6.0 24h

Trump out as President before 2027? Polymarket · Yes 4%

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027? Polymarket · Pete Hegseth 42% · -4.0 24h

Will the House impeach Trump? Kalshi · Before Jan 1, 2028 65% · -7.0 24h

Trump's approval rating on Nov 6, 2026? Kalshi · Above 39.0 73% · +30.0 24h

Will Trump be impeached by...? Polymarket · December 31, 2027 56% · -4.0 24h

Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by...? Polymarket · March 31, 2027 21%

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? Polymarket · Yes 1% · -0.9 24h

Trump declares election interference national emergency by...? Polymarket · December 31 4%