Financeodds favor November 9–November 15

Gemini Carbon Appears Headed for a Mid-November Release

Source: Polymarket market “When will Gemini Carbon be released?”

November 9–November 15: leaning yes (55%)
Leading outcome November 9–November 15 55% Leaning yes · A unlikely → leaning yes
24h move ▲ 36.0 pts November 9–November 15
Traded 24h $20K $20K all time
Resolves by 2027-01-04
Source markets 10 10 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

November 9–November 15 55% ▲ 36.0
December 14–December 20 16% ▲ 1.0
November 16–November 22 11% ▼ 3.9
November 2–November 8 9% ▼ 3.5
November 23–November 29 6% ▼ 6.0
No release by January 3 4% ▼ 15.5

Source markets for this story

Best AI at the end of 2026? Kalshi · Gemini 55% · +9.2 24h
Which company has best AI model end of 2026? Polymarket · Google 58% · +9.0 24h
Which company has the best AI model end of November? Polymarket · Google 68% · -2.0 24h
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...? Polymarket · December 31 94%
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...? Polymarket · December 31, 2027 62% · +6.0 24h
Gemini Carbon: HLE-Diamond Debut? Polymarket · 50%+ 96% · -2.0 24h
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...? Polymarket · December 31 88% · -1.5 24h
Gemini Carbon released by...? Polymarket · December 31 92%
When will Gemini Carbon be released? Polymarket · November 9–November 15 55% · +36.0 24h
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page