Republicans Are Likely to Win Greenville County in South Carolina's Senate Race
Source: Polymarket market “South Carolina Senate Election: Greenville County Winner”
Darline Graham Nordone (R): likely (87%)
Leading outcome
Darline Graham Nordone (R) 87%
Likely · C
probably not → likely
venues disagree 19.6pp
24h move
▲
49.0 pts
Darline Graham Nordone (R)
Traded 24h
$16K
$18K all time
Resolves by
2026-11-03
Source markets
72
72 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
Darline Graham Nordone (R)
87%
▲
49.0
Annie Andrews (D)
11%
▼
5.0
Source markets for this story
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Kalshi · Democrats sweep 67% · +2.0 24h
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Polymarket · Democrats Sweep 66% · +2.0 24h
Texas Senate winner?
Kalshi · James Talarico 68% · +4.0 24h
Which party will win the U.S. House?
Kalshi · Democratic Party 91% · +0.7 24h
Texas Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · James Talarico (D) 68% · +3.0 24h
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Polymarket · Democratic Party 92% · +1.0 24h
Texas Governor winner?
Kalshi · Greg Abbott 65% · -8.0 24h
Ohio Senate winner?
Kalshi · Sherrod Brown 71% · +6.0 24h
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
Kalshi · Democratic Party 67% · +1.0 24h
Georgia Governor winner?
Kalshi · Keisha Lance Bottoms 58% · +6.0 24h
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
Kalshi · Above 52 39% · +2.0 24h
Ohio Governor winner?
Kalshi · Amy Acton 80% · +2.0 24h
Nebraska Senate winner?
Kalshi · Pete Ricketts 73% · +1.0 24h
Minnesota Senate winner?
Kalshi · Peggy Flanagan 87% · -1.0 24h
Los Angeles Mayor winner?
Kalshi · Karen Bass 56% · +2.0 24h
TX-15 House winner?
Kalshi · Bobby Pulido 88% · +3.0 24h
Michigan Senate winner?
Kalshi · Abdul El-Sayed 70% · +1.0 24h
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Polymarket · Democratic Party 66% · +2.0 24h
Ohio Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Amy Acton (D) 78% · -0.5 24h
Maine Senate winner?
Kalshi · Troy Jackson 65% · +1.0 24h
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
Kalshi · 48 20% · -1.0 24h
Taipei Mayor Election Winner
Polymarket · Chiang Wan-an 62% · -1.0 24h
Maine-Texas Senate Combo
Kalshi · James Talarico and Troy Jackson 57% · +6.0 24h
Kansas Senate winner?
Kalshi · Roger Marshall 62% · +2.0 24h
New York Governor winner?
Kalshi · Kathy Hochul 95%
Florida Governor winner?
Kalshi · Byron Donalds 79% · -1.0 24h
Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?
Polymarket · Oil ≥ $85; D Senate 60% · +1.4 24h
Kansas Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Roger Marshall (R) 62% · -0.5 24h
FL-14 House winner?
Kalshi · Kathy Castor 65% · -3.0 24h
Alaska Senate winner?
Kalshi · Democratic party 76% · +1.0 24h
Florida Senate winner?
Kalshi · Ashley Moody 89% · -1.7 24h
New York Attorney General winner?
Kalshi · Letitia James 92% · +0.8 24h
NC-11 House winner?
Kalshi · Jamie Ager 86% · +4.0 24h
Texas Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Greg Abbott (R) 64% · -8.7 24h
Blue wave in 2026?
Kalshi · Yes 83% · -1.0 24h
Ohio Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Sherrod Brown (D) 70% · +6.5 24h
MT-01 House winner?
Kalshi · Aaron Flint 54% · -10.0 24h
Iowa Senate winner?
Kalshi · Ashley Hinson 59% · +1.0 24h
Nevada Governor winner?
Kalshi · Aaron Ford 66% · +8.0 24h
Idaho Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Jim Risch (R) 92% · -2.7 24h
Texas Senate margin of victory
Kalshi · Ken Paxton, 1+ pts 29% · -7.0 24h
MN-05 House winner?
Kalshi · Ilhan Omar 93% · +0.9 24h
Texas Senate margin of victory
Kalshi · James Talarico, 1+ pts 62% · +3.0 24h
Nebraska Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Pete Ricketts (R) 70% · -1.0 24h
Michigan Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Abdul El-Sayed (D) 70%
Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?
Polymarket · Oil ≥ $80; D Senate 62% · -0.5 24h
MO-02 House winner?
Kalshi · Ann Wagner 65% · -10.0 24h
New Mexico Governor winner?
Kalshi · Deb Haaland 94% · +0.6 24h
Arizona Governor winner?
Kalshi · Katie Hobbs 91% · -0.6 24h
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Polymarket · ≤47 40%
Florida Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Byron Donalds (R) 80% · -0.5 24h
Maine Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Troy Jackson (D) 66% · +1.0 24h
Alaska Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 83% · +3.9 24h
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?
Polymarket · No Hormuz Agreement 96% · +2.0 24h
Los Angeles Mayoral Election
Polymarket · Karen Bass 56% · +2.5 24h
VA-05 House Election Winner
Polymarket · John McGuire (R) 64% · -1.5 24h
California Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Xavier Becerra 96%
KY-06 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Ralph Alvarado (R) 60% · -6.0 24h
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
Polymarket · No Hormuz Agreement 89% · +1.7 24h
Iowa Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Ashley Hinson (R) 56% · -1.5 24h
Alaska Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Mary Peltola 74%
OH-15 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Don Leonard (D) 58% · +31.5 24h
Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket · Hinson 0-3% 32% · +9.5 24h
New York Attorney General Election Winner
Polymarket · Letitia James (D) 91% · -0.9 24h
South Carolina Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Darline Graham Nordone (R) 80% · -1.0 24h
Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket · Rogers 0-3% 26% · +10.0 24h
FL-14 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Kathy Castor (D) 64% · -6.0 24h
Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?
Polymarket · ↓ 7% 56% · +18.2 24h
MO-02 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Ann Wagner (R) 63% · -11.0 24h
AL-02 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Rhett Marques (R) 72% · +1.5 24h
Fall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US Senate
Polymarket · Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems 40% · +3.0 24h
South Carolina Senate Election: Greenville County Winner
Polymarket · Darline Graham Nordone (R) 87% · +49.0 24h
The Money Talks —
The House Is Already Slipping Away From Republicans
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