Flávio Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, and a Democratic Senate Lead a Fractured Combo Market
Source: Polymarket market “Fall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US Senate”
Lula, Eizenkot, Dems: a coin flip (46%)
Leading outcome
Lula, Eizenkot, Dems 46%
A coin flip · Falling · A · tracked 21 days
peak 43% · low 28% (16d ago)
likely → a coin flip
venues disagree 5.3pp
24h move
▲
38.5 pts
Lula, Eizenkot, Dems
Traded 24h
$137K
$428K all time
Resolves by
2026-11-04
Source markets
8
8 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
Lula, Eizenkot, Dems
46%
▲
38.5
Lula, Netanyahu, Dems
14%
▲
11.2
Lula, Eizenkot, Reps
12%
▲
10.1
Lula, Bennett, Dems
3%
▲
2.9
Lula, Netanyahu, Reps
3%
▼
0.8
Bolsonaro, Bennett, Dems
3%
0.1
Source markets for this story
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Polymarket · Gadi Eizenkot 50% · -1.2 24h
Israeli Legislative Election Winner
Polymarket · Yashar 70% · -1.5 24h
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
Kalshi · Gadi Eizenkot 47% · -1.0 24h
Fall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US Senate
Polymarket · Lula, Eizenkot, Dems 46% · +38.5 24h
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
Polymarket · 20+ Likud seats 75%
Next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Polymarket · No Next Minister by Feb 28 42% · +4.9 24h
Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place
Polymarket · Together 86% · +0.5 24h
Next Israeli Minister of National Security?
Polymarket · No Next Minister by Feb 28 37% · -0.5 24h
The Money Talks —
Eizenkot's Lead Is Real — But This Race Is Far From Settled
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