U.S.leaning Lula, Eizenkot, Dems

Flávio Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, and a Democratic Senate Lead a Fractured Combo Market

Source: Polymarket market “Fall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US Senate”

Lula, Eizenkot, Dems: a coin flip (46%)
Resolved The money put Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems at 34% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome Lula, Eizenkot, Dems 46% A coin flip · Falling · A · tracked 21 days peak 43% · low 28% (16d ago) likely → a coin flip venues disagree 5.3pp
24h move ▲ 38.5 pts Lula, Eizenkot, Dems
Traded 24h $137K $428K all time
Resolves by 2026-11-04
Source markets 8 8 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Lula, Eizenkot, Dems 46% ▲ 38.5
Lula, Netanyahu, Dems 14% ▲ 11.2
Lula, Eizenkot, Reps 12% ▲ 10.1
Lula, Bennett, Dems 3% ▲ 2.9
Lula, Netanyahu, Reps 3% ▼ 0.8
Bolsonaro, Bennett, Dems 3% 0.1

Source markets for this story

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Polymarket · Gadi Eizenkot 50% · -1.2 24h
Israeli Legislative Election Winner Polymarket · Yashar 70% · -1.5 24h
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election? Kalshi · Gadi Eizenkot 47% · -1.0 24h
Fall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Polymarket · Lula, Eizenkot, Dems 46% · +38.5 24h
Israel Election: Likud # of seats? Polymarket · 20+ Likud seats 75%
Next Israeli Minister of Defense? Polymarket · No Next Minister by Feb 28 42% · +4.9 24h
Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place Polymarket · Together 86% · +0.5 24h
Next Israeli Minister of National Security? Polymarket · No Next Minister by Feb 28 37% · -0.5 24h
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page