EU Diesel Reserves Are Likely to Clear 30 Million Tonnes by November
Source: Polymarket market “EU emergency diesel stocks end of November 2026?”
likely (80%)
Leading outcome
30M+ 80%
Likely · B
a coin flip → likely
24h move
▲
8.5 pts
30M+
Traded 24h
$16K
$17K all time
Resolves by
2026-12-01
Source markets
17
17 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
30M+
80%
▲
8.5
31M+
75%
▲
19.5
32M+
60%
▲
27.0
33M+
55%
▲
31.0
34M+
27%
▲
7.5
35M+
18%
▲
2.5
Source markets for this story
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
Polymarket · March 31 70% · -1.5 24h
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket · Yes 16% · -1.0 24h
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
Polymarket · October 5 98%
Iran leader end of 2026?
Polymarket · Mojtaba Khamenei 87%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
Polymarket · Yes 3%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Polymarket · Yes 20% · -1.0 24h
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?
Polymarket · Yes 8% · -5.0 24h
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Kalshi · Before Jan 1, 2029 71% · -1.0 24h
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Polymarket · Steve Witkoff 48% · -5.0 24h
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
Polymarket · December 31 14% · +0.5 24h
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
Polymarket · December 31 8%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
Polymarket · December 31 42%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Polymarket · Yes 6%
Iran leadership change by...?
Polymarket · June 30, 2027 22%
EU emergency diesel stocks end of October 2026?
Polymarket · 30M+ 97% · +8.2 24h
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?
Polymarket · December 31, 2026 50%
EU emergency diesel stocks end of November 2026?
Polymarket · 30M+ 80% · +8.5 24h
The Money Talks —
The US-Iran Diplomatic Calendar Probably Has Room for One More Meeting
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