Israel's Military Campaign Against Lebanon Is Very Likely Ongoing Into October
Source: Polymarket market “Israel military action against Lebanon on...?”
very likely (97%)
Leading outcome
October 4 97%
Very likely · C
likely → very likely
venues disagree 6.5pp
24h move
0.0 pts
October 4
Traded 24h
$68K
$89K all time
Resolves by
2026-11-01
Where the money stands
October 4
97%
0.0
October 31
92%
0.0
October 12
90%
▲
0.5
October 28
90%
▲
4.0
October 5
90%
▼
2.9
October 6
89%
▼
1.5
The Money Talks —
Israel's Airspace Is Very Likely Closing by September 30
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