Finance

US Crude Reserves Are Likely Headed Below 280 Million Barrels by October

Source: Polymarket market “Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by October 30?”

leaning yes (74%)
Leading outcome 280M 74% Leaning yes · B
24h move ▲ 17.5 pts 280M
Traded 24h $12K $31K all time
Resolves by 2026-11-12
Source markets 5 5 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

280M 74% ▲ 17.5
270M 8% ▼ 0.5
260M 3% 0.4
250M 3% 0.1
240M 2% 0.1

Source markets for this story

Oil Price (WTI) on Oct 13, 2026? Kalshi · Above $83.49 99% · +2.0 24h
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? Polymarket · Yes 20% · -25.5 24h
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of October 12 2026? Polymarket · ↑ $95 61% · +30.0 24h
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by October 30? Polymarket · 280M 74% · +17.5 24h
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page