U.S.odds favor Jeff Hurd (R)

Jeff Hurd Holds a Narrow Lead in Colorado's Third District

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “CO-03 House Election Winner”

Jeff Hurd (R): leaning yes (62%)
Resolved The money put Jeff Hurd (R) at 62% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome Jeff Hurd (R) 62% Leaning yes · Stable · D
24h move ▼ 1.0 pts Jeff Hurd (R)
Traded 24h $18K $92K all time
Resolves by 2026-11-04 in 1 day

Where the money stands

Jeff Hurd (R) 62% ▼ 1.0
Dwayne Romero (D) 39% ▲ 0.5
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

More from U.S.

U.S.

Democrats Are Poised to Reclaim Both Chambers in 2026

likely (83%)

A House near-certain to flip Democratic and a Senate now favoring Democrats signals a broad repudiation wave, not a surgical pickup — with Texas and Michigan both leaning blue, the map has expanded well beyond what Republicans can easily defend.

Updated 12:29 AM ET ▼ down sharply overnight
the numbers
traded today $4.5M markets read 79 venue Polymarket grade A tracked 47 days range 100% (26d ago) – 87% (44d ago) 21 tier changes venues disagree 14.9pp
U.S. Democrats Sweep on track to win

Democrats Are Likely to Sweep Both Chambers in 2026

Democrats Sweep: likely (76%)

What had been a lean is now a clear directional call — a Democratic House is already near-certain, and the Senate has crossed into likely territory, making a full sweep the single most probable outcome. The conviction has been volatile enough over the past three months that a further shift remains possible, but the money is no longer hedging.

Updated 3:18 PM ET ▲ up overnight
the numbers
traded today $7.4M markets read 7 venue Polymarket grade A tracked 97 days range 76% (0d ago) – 44% (95d ago) resolves in 1 day leaning yes → likely 3 tier changes venues disagree 14.0pp
U.S. odds favor Byron Donalds (R)

Byron Donalds Leads Florida's Governor Race as David Jolly Closes In

Byron Donalds (R): leaning yes (64%)

Democrats are making credible inroads across the 2026 governor map — Ohio and Nevada lean their way, and Florida, once an 83% Republican lock just five days ago, has slipped to a narrower edge, suggesting a national environment that is shifting against Republican incumbency in swing states.

Updated 9:38 AM ET ▼ down overnight
the numbers
traded today $192K markets read 36 venue Polymarket grade A tracked 48 days range 83% (8d ago) – 64% (1d ago) resolves in 1 day trending in today's news 3 tier changes venues agree