World

Russia Has Almost Certainly Conducted New Sabotage on European Soil

Source: Polymarket market “EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by...?”

virtually certain (100%)
Leading outcome October 31 100% Virtually certain · B · tracked 10 days a coin flip → virtually certain
24h move ▲ 54.9 pts October 31
Traded 24h $56K $88K all time
Resolves by 2027-01-01
Source markets 9 9 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

October 31 100% ▲ 54.9
December 31 100% ▲ 28.2

Source markets for this story

Putin out as President of Russia by...? Polymarket · June 30, 2027 12%
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by...? Polymarket · October 31 100% · +54.9 24h
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? Polymarket · June 30, 2027 10%
NATO x Russia military clash by...? Polymarket · December 31 28% · -1.0 24h
Anthropic lab leak by...? Polymarket · June 30, 2027 8% · +2.0 24h
Russia military action against EU country by...? Polymarket · December 31 12% · +3.0 24h
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...? Polymarket · December 31 12% · -2.0 24h
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...? Polymarket · December 31 68% · -1.0 24h
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by...? Polymarket · December 31 92% · +32.5 24h
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