Taylor Swift Leads the 2026 MTV Video of the Year Race With Ariana Grande Closing Fast
Source: Polymarket market “VMA Video of the Year 2026”
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift): a coin flip (54%)
Leading outcome
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift) 54%
A coin flip · D
probably not → a coin flip
24h move
▼
2.0 pts
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift)
Traded 24h
$13K
$16K all time
Resolves by
2026-09-28
Where the money stands
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift)
54%
▼
2.0
Confessions II – The Film (Madonna)
22%
▼
2.0
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande)
20%
▲
15.0
Tears (Sabrina Carpenter)
1%
▼
6.5
I Just Might (Bruno Mars)
0%
▼
4.5
Storm (Gener8ion featuring Yung Lean)
0%
▼
5.0
The Front Page, every morning — what the markets believe about the world.