Flávio Bolsonaro Is Now Favored to Clear 39% in Brazil's First Round
Source: Polymarket market “Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share?”
39%+: leaning yes (72%)
Leading outcome
39%+ 72%
Leaning yes · B
probably not → leaning yes
venues agree
24h move
▲
32.5 pts
39%+
Traded 24h
$24K
$24K all time
Resolves by
2026-10-05
Source markets
4
4 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
39%+
72%
▲
32.5
36-39%
16%
▲
2.0
<30%
2%
▼
10.6
33-36%
2%
▼
11.7
30-33%
1%
▼
13.2
Source markets for this story
Brazil Presidential Election
Polymarket · Flávio Bolsonaro 54%
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Polymarket · Flávio Bolsonaro 78% · +2.0 24h
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share?
Polymarket · 39%+ 72% · +32.5 24h
Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner
Polymarket · Lula 76%
The Money Talks —
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